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For Every Season II Lady Of Mercy The Sundered 3 By Michelle Sagara West Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis is an analysis by political scientist Graham T. Allison, ... By using such models (and modes of thinking), people made unreliable assumptions about reality, which could have disastrous consequences. La saggezza di Padre Brown The Gas We Pass: The Story Of Farts City of Gold (Pirates of the Caribbean: Jack Sparrow) Cuban missile crisis. These alternative explanations of the same hap-pening illustrate differences among the conceptual models -- at work. The concluding section generates predictions in terms of each of the models and suggests how the three conceptual models may be related. First And Ten (Valuebooks) CONCEPTUAL MODELS AND ‘ THE CUBANMISSILE CRISIS ” G RAHAM T. ALLISON Harvard University The Cuban missile crisis is a seminal event. 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